Gameweek 4 · deadline Sat 12 Sept, 13:30 BST

FPL Gameweek 4 preview

The fixtures the market favours, who the bookmakers expect to score and to keep clean sheets, what the crowd is doing with its chips and transfers, and who is flagged. Chelsea four to one on at home to Hull, the crowd split between a Free Hit now and a Wildcard after the break, and Gakpo the most bought player in the game while carrying a thigh flag. Here's your GW4 preview.

Fixtures to target

favourite at 60% or better

Chelsea at home to Hull is the standout at 80%, with Liverpool against Fulham and Arsenal at Sunderland the other two priced above 60%.

CHEvHULSat 15:00
Clean sheet48%
Over 2.567%
LIVvFULSat 15:00
Clean sheet37%
Over 2.565%
SUNvARSSat 20:00
Clean sheet52%
Over 2.547%

Clean sheet chance is the favourite's.

Most likely to score

anytime goalscorer

Bookmakers price João Pedro at 57% to score and Palmer at 52%, both at home to Hull. Haaland is next at 51% despite the trip to Old Trafford.

João Pedro
v HUL · 72.6% owned
57%
Palmer
v HUL · 23.2% owned
52%
Haaland
@ MUN · 71.3% owned
51%

Chance of scoring at any point in the match, taken from the median bookmaker price.

Clean sheet favourites

Arsenal at Sunderland is the only shutout priced above evens, at 52%. Chelsea sit just under at 48%, and nobody else clears 40%.

Arsenal
@ SUN
52%
Chelsea
v HUL
48%
Liverpool
v FUL
37%

Chips and the crowd

community consensus

The crowd is split on the Free Hit: play it now for the Chelsea and Liverpool fixtures, or hold it for GW12 when Arsenal host City. Most plans agree on a Wildcard in GW6, after the international break.

  • GW4Free Hit
  • GW6Wildcard
  • GW7Bench Boost
  • GW12Free Hit
  • GW16Triple Captain Haaland v Hull

Captain: Palmer is the headline pick: home to Hull, on penalties and set plays, third-most shots in the league, no European rotation risk.

Our read of what the FPL community is planning this week, not a recommendation.

Flags

5%+ owned

Three players above five percent ownership carry a 75% flag: O'Reilly, Gakpo and Cash. Gakpo's thigh knock lands in the same week he is the most bought player in the game.

  • O'Reilly14.5% owned75%
    Back injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Gakpo14.1% owned75%
    Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
  • Cash6.7% owned75%
    Muscular injury - 75% chance of playing

Transfers this week

top 5 each way

Gakpo, Rogers, Palmer and Isak are the week's big buys, all within 150,000 of each other at the top. O'Reilly is the most sold, with Fernandes and Szoboszlai close behind.

Most bought
  • Gakpo£7.2m▲ 595.6k
  • Rogers£7.6m▲ 562.3k
  • Palmer£9.6m▲ 451.3k
  • Isak£9.1m▲ 447.2k
  • Ødegaard£6.6m▲ 383.8k
Most sold
  • O'Reilly£6.5m▼ 390.2k
  • B.Fernandes£12.0m▼ 362.3k
  • Szoboszlai£7.0m▼ 361.1k
  • Calvert-Lewin£6.0m▼ 275.2k
  • Mbeumo£7.9m▼ 271.8k

Price changes this week

9 up · 76 down · most-owned shown

Fallers outnumber risers more than eight to one this week: 76 down against nine up.

Risers
  • Cherki£7.8m▲ £0.1m
  • Rogers£7.6m▲ £0.1m
  • Isak£9.1m▲ £0.1m
  • De Cuyper£4.8m▲ £0.1m
  • Wissa£6.2m▲ £0.1m
Fallers
  • Mbeumo£7.9m▼ £0.1m
  • Semenyo£8.4m▼ £0.1m
  • Tzolis£6.4m▼ £0.1m
  • Shaw£4.4m▼ £0.1m
  • Rice£7.4m▼ £0.1m